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April 13 2020: The Latest Information

April 13 2020: Of course there was someone who couldn’t wait to point out that I was wrong. Back on March 26th, when there were 800  deaths from COVID-19 in the United States, I did some calculations and projected that there would be around 24,000 dead by Easter. I cited the lack of testing and the shortage of PPE as contributing factors.

Well, as of Easter morning there were only 21,692 dead people. Don’t I have egg on my face. Aren’t I embarrassed. My number was off. The United States still have the highest number of infected in the world, with 529,951 cases as of Sunday morning. They’ve got the most dead, and a death rate of 3.89%, or 389 times higher than the seasonal flu. I’m certainly going to feel bad that there are less people dead than the best available data led me to believe.

For those who can’t detect sarcasm, that was sarcasm.

What the fuck is wrong with people? America didn’t hit 24,000 by Easter, so that makes it okay? So they don’t reach that new level of tragedy until today, or tomorrow. That makes it better? You want to gloat because social distancing is working, healthcare workers got a bit more (but still not enough) personal protective equipment, and testing has expanded a little in some places?

Does that fact that, for the first time in history, all 50 states have been declared a disaster area at once count for anything?

I can’t with people.

April 13 2020: The Latest Information

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Johns Hopkins links have changed. They have consolidated everything into one resource page.

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